Investing In Bulgaria
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Location and demography |
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Bulgaria is situated in the South-Eastern part of the Balkan Peninsula.
The country's population is 7.97 million and has a territory of 110,912
sq.km, bordering Greece, Turkey, Republic of Macedonia, FYR Yugoslavia and
Romania. Bulgaria is situated in the center of a region, which is
undergoing dynamic transition. Within 500 km of its capital Sofia (1.2
million people) a population of over 60 million is concentrated throughout
10 countries, most of which have only recently embarked on their way to a
market economy. This is a large market with one of the most rapidly
increasing market demands in Europe. All these regions are only several
hours' drive from any point in Bulgaria. A network of international
motorways crosses the country, making vital connections to Western Europe,
Russia, Minor Asia, to the Adriatic, the Aegean and the Black Sea. Both
sea and river transport (the Black Sea and the Danube River) offer good
communications and transportation to and from the region. |
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Bulgaria lagged in respect to economic
growth and the speed of reform until 1997 |
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Bulgaria is among the most industrialized former socialist countries,
with chemical industry, food, machine building, metallurgy and energy
contributing more than 75% of the GDP. In addition, Bulgaria offers
strategic geographic position and well-developed transport and
telecommunications infrastructure combined with highly qualified and
comparatively cheap labour force. Unfortunately, in the last 12 years
Bulgaria has lagged behind Central European nations in respect to economic
growth and the speed of reform. The years 1989 – 1997 were characterized
by political instability and economic collapse. |
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Currency Board was introduced on July
1st 1997 to stabilize economy. |
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Yet political developments in early 1997 pointed at a radical turn. In
January 1997 a reform-minded interim government came into power, managing
to bring down inflation to zero level in April and stabilize the currency.
In late May 1997, following general elections, the reformist right-wing
Union of Democratic Forces formed its own government. A major step was the
introduction of a Currency Board, which started effectively as of July
1st 1997. The Currency Board was proposed by the IMF and World
Bank as an active attempt to curb down inflation, devaluation of the BGL
and the run on the banking system.
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The goal - accession to the European
Union |
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A broad international acknowledgement of the
political and economic changes in Bulgaria was the invitation to start
accession negotiations with the EU in December 1999 and their
initiation in March 2000. GDP growth of 5.4% for 2000, 4.1% for 2001, 4.8%
for 2002 and expected 5.0% for 2003, low inflation, Government budget
surplus, improving foreign debt indicators and high liquidity of the
banking system are some of the unquestionable successes in the last 4
years. The current economic policy measures and reforms are designed to
help Bulgaria to make substantial progress towards meeting the conditions
for accession to the European. Union. The goal of accession to the
European Union created a momentum for structural reforms, which are
essential for the development of the Bulgarian economy. Bulgaria has
already closed 25 of the chapters in its accession negotiations with the
EU with 4 other subject to negotiations. The country hopes to complete the
talks in 2004 and eventually become a full member of the Union in
2007.Bulgaria was officially invited to join NATO in November 2002. The
decision is subject to approval by NATO member countries. The process is
expected to be completed in 2004. 11 countries out of 19 already ratified
the accession protocols. |
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The Capital market development |
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An important part of the recent changes was the capital market
development. Equity trade in Bulgaria started in the beginning of the
1990ies. Traded companies comprised of mainly newly established private
corporations and a small number of state banks while most industrial
companies were still in state hands. A lot of problems like the lack of
legislation, the insufficient number of traded quality companies, the
instability of the financial system lead to a freeze of Stock Exchange
trading in early 1996.The real opening of the capital market took place in
1997. The voucher privatization created some of the prerequisites for a
the market development – substantial stakes of 1050 state enterprises went
into the hands of individuals and privatization funds, creating a wide
shareholders’ base. All the necessary factors for the start of trade
existed – Securities Act /adopted 1995/, Securities and Stock Exchange
Commission was formed*, the Bulgarian Stock Exchange got license in October
1997.2002 and 2003 saw another series of positive changes powered by the
Government’s will to further develop the capital market. The most
important factors for the capital market growth included the amendments in
the Securities Act that introduced more protection for the minority
shareholders, the new regulations, which allowed compensatory instruments
to be traded on the BSE, the improved corporate management and the
constantly improving profitability of the companies, and the intense
privatization of attractive state-owned companies via the stock
exchange. |
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Bulgarian capital market still to
grow |
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With all the necessary conditions established, we expect the Bulgarian
capital market to continue its present upward trend. We base our
conclusion on the following factors:
- Although prices have risen, most of the blue chips are traded at
valuations much lower than those of their peers on CEE stock markets;
- Indications exist that many foreign investors are looking for
opportunities to enter the market, having identified its potential;
- Floating 20% of BTC, 30% of Bulgarian Maritime Fleet and minority
state stakes in other attractive companies will bring the needed
liquidity to the market;
- Potential acquisitions by multinational companies will cause share
prices to skyrocket;
- The bond market will continue to develop quickly.
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Bulgaria started the economic reform in February 1991 by liberalizing almost
all prices and breaking the state monopoly on foreign trade. The structural and
the institutional changes were supported by a heterodox stabilization program,
based on a restrictive monetary and fiscal policy, and also on a strongly
restrictive incomes policy.
The implementation of a strongly restrictive macroeconomic policy provoked
social tension in the country and made the government initiate in September 1991
a loosening of incomes policy and fiscal restrictions. The 1992 and 1993
softening of restrictions was not underpinned by a serious structural reform
especially in terms of the property and management of state-owned enterprises.
The initial achievements of the reform, related to the change in the relative
prices and adjusting the supply to the demand, were wiped out. The process of
legalization of the soft budget constraints by bailing out debts of state-owned
enterprises and transforming them into a government debt, was sustained ever
after 1990, when it was initiated.
In March 1994 the first foreign exchange crisis burst out (resulting in a
doubling of the exchange rate of the BGL against the dollar in 1994 compared to
1993). Inflation soared and reached the average annual level of 90%, an
intensive process of currency substitution started, which affected the portfolio
investments, credits and deposits in the banking system. The change in the
economic policy showed in the attempt to reapply the principles of the initial
stabilization program of 1991 supplemented by the introduction of administrative
measures at an ever enlarging scope. The high public borrowing requirements, the
deteriorating portfolios of the commercial banks and their low liquidity
sustained a high interest rate and repressed the financial market while the
dominance of administered prices and foreign trade controls (though selective)
depressed the commodity markets.
The economic stabilization over the first half of 1995 justified the central
bank lowering the base interest rate from 72% in the beginning of 1995 to 34% in
August 1995. This gradually undermined the interest rate parity, the process of
currency substitution was reactivated and the nominal exchange rate began to
upturn in September. In order to curb the lev depreciation the Central Bank
(BNB) intervened in the currency market. The drop in the foreign reserves at the
end of 1995 and the forthcoming payments on the external debt at the beginning
of 1996 destroyed the confidence in the financial system. The low liquidity of
some of the commercial banks which caused disturbance of the inter-enterprise
payments brought about a severe banking system confidence crisis, the climax
being the run on banks at the beginning of 1996.
The confidence crisis became even more acute at the beginning of 1997. The
political instability after the resignation of the government in December 1996
strengthened the negative outlook of the economic entities. Because of the panic
and the escape from the Bulgarian Lev the demand for the national currency
shrank considerably, despite all attempts to solve the crisis. Inflation soared
to hyperinflationary levels (February 1997 – 240%), the BGL depreciated (by more
than 500% against the US dollar between 31 December 1996 and 12 February 1997),
markets collapsed coupled by almost complete dollarization of payments.
The economic crises subsided as the political agreement has been reached (on
5 February 1997) and the decision for preliminary elections has been taken. The
appointment of a caretaker government endorsed with high public confidence, the
measures undertaken in the sphere of the economic policy, and the resumption of
the dialogue with the international financial institutions created prerequisites
for restoring the confidence in the national currency and institutions. After
the parliamentary elections in April 1997 the new majority in Parliament
appointed a government which set itself the objective to conclude the transition
from a centrally-planned towards a market economy on the basis of accelerated
privatisation and a stability and economic growth oriented macroeconomic policy.
The macroeconomic policy, implemented since mid-1997, embodied a currency
board arrangement, a fiscal policy aimed at a broadly balanced government
budget, a restrictive incomes policy (from which the private sector is
exempted), further liberalization of domestic prices and foreign trade,
acceleration of structural reforms in the real sector and the budget sphere.
The economy started to recover in 1998 as the year was marked by
events with favourable impact on market reforms, such as the three-year IMF
agreement and the accession to CEFTA. In 1998 all prices except for household
power consumption and industrial central heating utilities were liberalised.
Bulgaria achieved financial stabilisation, 4% real GDP growth and 1% end-year
inflation. Important steps were taken in the areas of privatisation, banking
sector reforms, and agricultural liberalisation. Fiscal policy was prudent as
the general government budget deficit was limited to 0.9% of GDP, and income
policy for state-owned enterprises was implemented strictly. Privatisation was
accelerated, recording the highest level of sale of state assets in Bulgaria’s
history. Liberalisation of the agricultural sector continued consistently with
the Government program for structural reform. Significant trade and price
liberalisation was achieved and state control on prices of agricultural and food
products was eliminated. A system of licensed warehouse receipts was introduced
to provide options for further development of the grain market.
The greatest challenge for Bulgaria in 1999 - the Kosovo crisis -
heavily affected the country’s economy. The total direct losses for Bulgaria
amounted to USD 95 million. The GDP growth in 1Q ’99 slowed down to 0.8% but
accelerated to 4.8% during the second half of 1999. In 1998 and 1999 Bulgarian
exports were adversely affected by lower foreign demand and falling prices of
major export commodities in the chemical and metallurgical sectors. On the other
hand the Kosovo crisis hit badly the Bulgarian exports imposing barriers on the
main export route (Yugoslavia). A trade deficit of USD 380 million appeared in
1998, which widened to USD 1,068 million in 1999. Despite the overall drop in
the total value of exports, an increase was recorded in many commodity groups,
compared to 1997. Confidence in the Bulgarian national currency remained strong,
with gross official reserves at USD 3.2 billion and the fiscal reserve account
at USD 1.4 billion at end-1999. A broad international acknowledgement of the
political and economic changes in Bulgaria was the invitation to start accession
negotiations with the EU in December 1999 and their initiation in March
2000.
While exports recovered substantially in 2000, the current account
deficit remained high due to a sharp increase in imports induced by higher
international oil prices. On the positive side, the turmoil on
international financial markets did not cause any apparent threat to the
stability of the financial system or to the continuation of the currency board
arrangement.
The macroeconomic results in 2000 and 2001 of 5.4% and 4.1% real GDP growth
respectively and inflation of 11.4% and 4.8% respectively allowed for medium-
and long-term business planning. Despite the world economic slowdown in 2002
Bulgaria also performed well with real GDP growth of 4.8% and end-of-year
inflation estimated at 3.8%. Reflecting ongoing economic restructuring, the
private sector now represents almost 65% of GDP and its share in total
employment is increasing. As of end-2002 foreign direct investment (FDI) stock
in Bulgaria reached USD 5.2 billion with about 85% generated since the
new start of the economic reforms in 1997. Banking sector privatisation was
completed with the privatisation of the last state bank – DSK Bank – in 2003.
Deficit growth seems to be overcome in 2002 as exports grew faster than imports.
With a revenue growth of about 10% in the last couple of years, tourism
contributes significantly to better results.
Over the last two years, the investment climate has been improved by positive
changes in the tax legislation. In terms of income and corporate tax rates
Bulgaria has become the most competitive location in CEE. Since 1 January
2002 the highest bracket for the personal income tax has been dropped to 29% and
since January 2003 all the other brackets have been reduced to 15%, 22% and 26%.
Since 1 January 2003 the corporate tax rate is set at 23.5% and the
municipality tax has been repealed. The government proposed to cut the corporate
tax to 19.5% in 2004 in a bid to encourage investment and speed up
economic growth.
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1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
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REAL SECTOR |
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GDP current prices(in USD million) |
10,198 |
12,735 |
12,946 |
12,597 |
13,557 |
15,563 |
8,632 (1H) |
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GDP - real growth rate (%) |
-5.6 |
4.0 |
2.3 |
5.4 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
4.1 (1H) |
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Investment – growth rate |
-20.9 |
35.2 |
20.8 |
15.4 |
23.3 |
9.3 |
18.0 (1H) |
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Consumption – growth rate |
-9.6 |
4.0 |
8.8 |
5.7 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
6.5 (1H) |
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GDP per capita, USD |
1,227 |
1,542 |
1,577 |
1,542 |
1,705 |
1,978 |
1,097 (1H) |
Real GDP per capita(PPP, % EU-15=100%) |
27.63 |
28.19 |
28.34 |
25.76 |
24.57 |
25.36 |
NA |
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Inflation (CPI) |
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End of Period |
578.6 |
1.0 |
6.2 |
11.4 |
4.8 |
3.8 |
0.9 (Sept 03) |
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Annual Average |
1058.4 |
18.7 |
2.6 |
10.3 |
7.4 |
5.8 |
1.2 (Jan-Sept 03) |
Unemployment rate(end of period %) |
14.00 |
12.20 |
13.8 |
18.00 |
17.88 |
16.27 |
12.76 (Sept 03) |
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EXTERNAL SECTOR |
Balance of Payments |
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Current Account (in USD million) |
1,046.3 |
-61.4 |
-651.7 |
-703.7 |
-842.2 |
-677.4 |
-950.5 (Jan-Jul 03) |
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Current Account - % of GDP |
10.3 |
-0.5 |
-5.0 |
-5.6 |
-6.2 |
-4.4 |
-5.0 (Jan–Jul 03) |
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Trade Balance (in USD million) |
321.0 |
-380.7 |
-1081.0 |
-1175.5 |
-1,580.5 |
-1594.5 |
-1,231.1 (Jan-Jul 03) |
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Trade Balance - % of GDP |
3.1 |
-3.0 |
-8.3 |
-9.3 |
-11.7 |
-10.3 |
-6.5 (Jan-Jul 03) |
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FDI (in USD million) |
504.8 |
537.3 |
818.8 |
1001.5 |
812.9 |
478.7 |
533.8 (Jan-Jul 03) |
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FDI % of GDP |
4.9 |
4.4 |
6.6 |
8.4 |
6.0 |
3.0 |
NA |
Gross External Debt - % of GDP |
100.4 |
85.5 |
84.2 |
88.9 |
78.3 |
70.5 |
62.6 (Aug 03) |
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Exchange Rate (BGN/USD) |
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End of period |
1.77650 |
1.67510 |
1.94687 |
2.10191 |
2.21926 |
1.88496 |
1.67854 (Sept 03) |
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Annual average |
1.68187 |
1.76063 |
1.83640 |
2.12334 |
2.18472 |
2.07697 |
1.74550 (Jan-Sept 03) |
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FINANCIAL SECTOR |
Base Interest Rate - annual |
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Basic Interest Rate nominal |
6.79% |
5.03% |
4.46% |
4.62% |
4.67% |
3.35% |
2.59% (Oct 03) |
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Basic Interest Rate effective |
6.97% |
5.13% |
4.54% |
4.70% |
4.75% |
3.39% |
2.62% (Oct 03) |
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Source: National Statistical Institute, Bulgarian
National Bank, http://www.stat.bg/ |
By the end of 2002, about 53.5% of the long-term assets of the state
owned enterprises were transferred into private hands with a financial effect of
USD 7,546 million. If assets not subject to privatisation in the long
run are excluded, this ratio reaches 81%. About 99% of the agricultural lands
and 92% of forest areas have been returned to their former owners. The bank
privatisation was finalised.
As of January 2003 foreign direct investment (FDI) stock in Bulgaria reached
USD 5.2 billion with about 85% generated since the new start of the
economic reforms in 1997. For a fifth consecutive year FDIs through greenfield,
joint ventures, reinvestments and additional investments in already acquired
enterprises exceeded FDIs through privatisation.
The top investor in Bulgaria is Greece, followed by Germany, Italy, Belgium
and Austria. Other major investors include the USA, the Netherlands, the UK and
Russia. The European Union is the major source of FDI for Bulgaria with about
70% of the FDI stock. FDI distribution by sectors shows the major role of
industry (43.6% of the total), followed by finance (18.7%) and trade (16%).
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Foreign direct investment inflows by year
(USDm) |
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YEAR |
Privatisation |
Other |
Total by years |
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1992 |
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34.4 |
34.4 |
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1993 |
22.0 |
80.4 |
102.4 |
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1994 |
134.2 |
76.7 |
210.9 |
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1995 |
26.0 |
136.6 |
162.6 |
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1996 |
76.4 |
180.0 |
256.4 |
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1997 |
421.4 |
214.8 |
636.2 |
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1998 |
155.8 |
464.2 |
620.0 |
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1999 |
226.7 |
592.1 |
818.8 |
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2000 |
366.0 |
635.5 |
1,001.5 |
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2001 |
19.2 |
793.7 |
812.9 |
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2002 |
135.6 |
343.1 |
478.7 |
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Total |
1,583.3 |
3,551.5 |
5,134.8 |
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Source: Bulgarian Foreign Investment
Agency |
2003 FDI data
According to preliminary data, the foreign direct investment in Bulgaria for
the period January – July 2003 amounted to USD 533.8 million (2.8% of GDP). It
grew 63.3% (USD 206.8 million) against that attracted in the same period of 2002
(USD 327.0 million, 2.1 % of GDP).
(in USD million)
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2002 |
2003 |
2003–2002 |
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I - III |
IV - VI |
VII |
I - VII |
I - III |
IV - VI |
VII |
I - VII |
I - VII |
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Foreign Direct Investment |
207.3 |
143.1 |
-23.4 |
327.0 |
100% |
221.4 |
290.3 |
22.1 |
533.8 |
100% |
206.8 |
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Equity capital, incl. |
57.6 |
85.4 |
-8.5 |
134.6 |
41.1% |
98.0 |
73.6 |
17.8 |
189.4 |
35.5% |
54.8 |
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from privatisation |
13.1 |
33.1 |
8.5 |
54.6 |
16.7% |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
- |
-54.6 |
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non-privatisation flows |
44.5 |
52.3 |
-16.9 |
79.9 |
24.4% |
98.0 |
73.6 |
17.8 |
189.4 |
35.5% |
109.5 |
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Other capital |
140.5 |
43.2 |
-17.9 |
165.8 |
50.7% |
101.7 |
216.7 |
4.3 |
322.7 |
60.5% |
156.9 |
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Reinvested earnings |
9.3 |
14.5 |
2.9 |
26.6 |
8.1% |
21.7 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
21.7 |
4.1% |
-4.9 |
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Source: direct investment companies, Agency for
privatisation, the National Statistical Institute, the Central
Depository, commercial banks. |
The attracted Equity capital (acquisition/disposal of shares and equities in
cash and in kind by non-residents in/from the capital and reserves of Bulgarian
enterprises) totalled USD 189.4 million, amounting to 35.5% of the foreign
direct investment for the reporting period. It grew by USD 54.8 million (40.8%)
year-on-year (USD 134.6 million).
For the period January – July 2003 no equity capital on privatisation deals
was reported, whereas in the same month of the previous year it amounted to USD
54.6 million. The attracted equity capital on non-privatisation deals totalled
USD 189.4 million in the reporting period, increasing 137.0% (USD 109.5 million)
against that for the same period of 2002 (USD 79.9 million).
The Other capital (the change in the net liabilities of the direct investment
enterprise to the direct investor on financial loans, trade credits and debt
securities) amounted to USD 322.7 million (net) for the period January – July
2003, increasing considerably by USD 156.9 million (94.6%) against that for the
same period of 2002 (USD 165.8 million). In result the relative share of Other
capital in the total amount of foreign investment increased to 60.5% from 50.7%
in 2002.
According to preliminary data, the Reinvested earnings (the share of
non-residents in the undistributed earnings/ loss of the enterprise) amounted to
USD 21.7 million, decreasing by USD 4.9 million against those in the same period
of 2002 (USD 26.6 million).
By countries, the largest investments in the reporting period of 2003 were
those of Switzerland (34.6% of the total foreign direct investment), Italy
(8.9%) and Netherlands (8.5%).
Under a currency board arrangement, Bulgaria’s monetary and foreign exchange
polices have a less important role to play in comparison to countries with a
full-fledged independent central bank. Fiscal policy will continue to be the
principal macroeconomic policy instrument to maintain stability and create
incentives for the restructuring of the economy and economic growth since the
currency board arrangement will carry on operating without alterations at the
BGN/EUR exchange rate peg.
The key objectives of the government fiscal agenda till 2006 are aimed
at maintaining macroeconomic stability and generating sustainable and balanced
long-term growth in the economy. They are fully in line with the country’s
foreign policy priorities, viz. integration into NATO and the European Union.
The government medium-term fiscal framework will sustain the conservative fiscal
stance. The framework allows for a gradual reduction in the general budget
deficit while striving to achieve a balanced government budget in 2005. The
above policy goal is guided by the commitments of the government to curtail the
current account deficit and government debt levels to safeguard the country’s
macroeconomic stability and foster sustainable growth in the economy. The
mid-term fiscal framework foresees further reduction (commenced in 2001) of the
GDP share of expenditures re-allocated by the public sector, given a concurrent
improvement in the expenditure structure.
The tax policy package underlying the Tax Strategy of the government
till 2005 is aimed at ensuring sustainable growth and equitable taxation while
maintaining fiscal sustainability. It complies with EU tax requirements, marking
an important step forward in the gradual alignment of the country’s tax
legislation to the EU acquis. As a result of the fiscal policy implemented,
general government budget revenues are expected to smoothly and evenly decrease
as percentage of GDP over 2003-2006. The share of direct taxes will decline at
the expense of the growing weight of indirect taxes within total tax revenues.
The forecasts draw upon the improvements in tax collection expected.
Bulgaria's currency board arrangement (CBA) was introduced as a key element
of the macroeconomic stabilisation programme adopted in April 1997. The Law on
the Bulgarian National Bank, which entered into force in June 1997, put in place
the entire legislative framework for the CBA. Under the CBA, which was effective
from 1 July 1997, the objective of the Central Bank is to foster the stability
of the national currency. The key element of Bulgaria's medium-term economic
strategy is the continuation of the CBA.
The Law on the Bulgarian National Bank determined the rate at which the lev
was fixed to the peg currency, the deutsche mark (BLG 1000 per DM). On 1 January
1999, the fixed exchange rate to the DM was converted to the Euro on the basis
of the official exchange rate of conversion of the DM to the euro. On July 5,
1999 the Bulgarian currency – lev is denominated. Three zeros
(000) were slashed (eliminated). BGN 1 = DEM 1, or BGN 1.95583 = Euro 1; Old
code: BGL (lev), New code: BGN (lev) The choice of the Euro as peg currency is
designed to reinforce the political objective of EU accession and, eventually,
to facilitate Bulgaria's integration into the Economic and Monetary Union.
According to the rules of the currency board arrangement the Central Bank is
obliged to buy and sell any amount of foreign or domestic currency at the fixed
exchange rate, and the size of the domestic money supply is dependent on the
central bank’s stock of foreign exchange reserves and the demand for domestic
currency. The central bank cannot lend to the State or to any state agencies,
except against purchases of special drawing rights (SDR) from the IMF. Also,
under the rules of the CBA, the central bank cannot lend to commercial banks,
except if the stability of the financial system is endangered. In that case
excess foreign reserves are to be used which are the difference between total
foreign reserves and the liabilities of the currency board (reserve money and
government deposits). The currency board contributes to fostering financial
discipline as banks and companies have to repay loans with no prospect of being
bailed out by the state. The BNB is not allowed to do open market operations
including repurchase agreements as the CBA cannot hold domestic assets.
The introduction of the currency board arrangement was a key element in the
successful lowering of inflation and interest rates. The yield on short-term
treasury bills, which fell rapidly to 6% in the second half of 1997, is
currently about 2.5%. The market of long-term government securities is in a
process of development thanks to the positive effects of financial
stabilization, and the increased predictability of the economic policy
environment.
The major objective of structural reforms is to make the Bulgarian economy,
i.e. its enterprises, institutions etc., a viable and competitive actor on the
internal market of the EU and in the global economy. The macroeconomic
stabilisation achieved since the introduction of the currency board regime has
created a favourable environment for the implementation of the authorities’
reform agenda. It is now crucial to take advantage of this opportunity since
macroeconomic stabilisation alone does not automatically lead to the supply
responses needed to achieve sustained growth and to the creation of a market
economy.
Bulgaria faces the challenge to build up a competitive and well-regulated
financial market. The future membership in the EU requires the market regulatory
framework to be in compliance with the EU standards. The laws and regulations
adopted in the last several years have transposed in banking legislation the
main EU Bank Directives and the Basle principles for prudential banking
supervision.
The privatisation of commercial banks as well as the improvement of banking
regulations in conformity with the recommended international practice and
efficient banking supervision are the main reasons for the good financial
performance of the banking system and, together with macroeconomic
stabilization, for the gradual remonetisation of the economy and the expansion
of credit to the non-government sector. Regardless of the substantial growth of
credit to the non-government sector, the Bulgarian economy is still less
monetised than the other economies in transition.
The legislative amendments in the area of creditor rights guaranteeing, the
faster and more efficient settlement of credit disputes and the development of
financial instruments in 2001-2002 underlie the increased credit activity of
commercial banks. The changes at the international financial market also
contributed to this effect. The growth of lending was accompanied by a quality
improvement of commercial banks credit portfolio. Increased competition in the
banking sector following the successful divestiture is also an important factor
boosting credit activity. The diversification of financial instruments as a
result of the introduction of mortgage bonds in 2001 was a result of competition
among commercial banks too.
In 2001-2003, the banking system remained well capitalized and profitable
while competition followed a steady upward trend after the privatisation carried
out in the preceding years. According to the overall assessment, the banking
system is well supervised, highly capitalized, with moderate profitability and
with good risk management. Non-bank financial intermediation however is
relatively underdeveloped. Still, following the amendments to the regulatory
framework of pension and insurance intermediaries, a sustained upward trend is
discerned in their share of the financial markets. The concentration of assets
in the insurance sector as well as in the universal, occupational and voluntary
pension funds remains relatively high.
Since the introduction of the CBA and the stabilization of the economy
interest rates have followed a steady downward trend, converging with
international interest rates. In early-1997 the base interest rate (BIR) reached
about 200% and slumped to 6.65% in end-year. In October 2003, the base interest
rate ran at 2.59%. However, the BIR is determined by a small segment of the
market of government securities and is therefore less illustrative of the money
price dynamics in the economy.
Interest on short-term credits has been going on to decrease since 1997 to
reach 7.78% in October 2003 as compared to a 13.73% interest rate on long-term
loans. Deposit interest levels steadied around 2.03% while the interest rate
spread between credits and deposits remained high, judged by international
standards.
On the privatisation front, the last three years should be definitely viewed
as successful - the strategy of the Bulgarian government was to sell first the
best state-owned banks, with the purpose to attract additional capital and
expertise necessary for building up a competitive banking system. In 1997, the
Bank Consolidation Company was given a mandate to privatise the state-owned
banks that emerged from the consolidation process. After UBB and Postbank
privatisation in 1998, the privatisation procedures for Expressbank (sold to
Societe Generale-France) and Hebrosbank (sold to Regent Pacific Fund) were
completed by end-1999. Since the beginning of 2000, more banks have been
privatised as a result of increased Government efforts – largest Bulgarian bank
Bulbank (sold to a consortium between Italy's UniCredito and Germany's Allianz),
and Corporate Bank, previously owned by Bulbank also sold to private owners. In
2002 Bank Austria Creditanstalt purchased 99.59% of the shares of Biochim Bank
for USD 82m and on 20 May, 2003 OTP Bank, Hungary signed a contract for
privatisation of 100% of the shares of the third largest Bulgarian
bank – DSK for EUR 311m. The deal has finalized the privatisation
process in the banking sector.
Enterprise sector reform is at the heart of the transition and accession
process. The main objective is to restructure the Bulgarian enterprise sector in
an outward-looking and export-oriented way, to make it a viable, active and
competitive participant on the international markets, especially on the internal
market of the EU.
The main priority of the development of the Bulgarian economy over the
2000-2006 period is the improvement of the real sector’s competitiveness on the
basis of viable enterprises guided by market principles and in compliance with
the assumed obligations under international agreements. The attainment of this
priority involves the betterment of the economic climate and more extensive use
of the existing national advantages and technical and production capacities and
potential. The prudent usage of natural resources and the achievement of
compliance with environmental legislation are also necessary requirements to
further revive the Bulgarian manufacturing.
Privatisation has been a top priority for all governments since the beginning
of the economic and political changes in Bulgaria in the early 90s. It started
in 1993 using various techniques and witnessing big legislative changes, all
aimed at improving transparency and attracting bigger foreign investors.
However, as of spring 1996, less than 4% of state assets had been transferred to
private ownership. The slow advance of privatisation between 1992 and 1996 was
the result of limited political will, poor implementing procedures, and little
interest from potential buyers in an environment characterised by an inadequate
legal framework and substantial macroeconomic instability. The slow advance of
privatisation severely affected the extent of economic restructuring, favoured
widespread asset stripping and failed to limit the rising need for SOE
subsidization.
In the period after the 1996-1997 crisis, privatisation and state-owned
enterprise restructuring in Bulgaria have principally aimed at imposing tight
budget constraints in the real sector and simultaneously providing additional
financial resources to the budget from the sale of state property. Two phases in
the restructuring of state assets were delineated to accomplish the formulated
task.
The first phase witnessed the swift privatisation of state-owned enterprises
through sales predominantly to strategic investors and, in the absence of such
investors, through management and employee buy-outs (MEBOs); the second wave of
mass privatisation also took place. After the successful completion of the first
phase, the preparation process for liberalization, restructuring and
deregulation of state monopolies was launched in the end of 2000.
Privatisation contributed to the expansion and strengthening of private
sector in the country. The high percentage of GDP (around 70%) produced in the
private sector in 1999-2000 as well as the sustained output growth in the sector
were also consequences of the privatisation of state-owned enterprises. At the
same time, a number of shortcomings in the privatisation procedures applied
before the end of 2000 have been reported, viz. insufficient transparency,
unequal treatment of potential buyers following the preferential treatment of
MEBOs, and non-observance of commitments assumed by buyers at the conclusion of
the privatisation deal. These shortcomings, magnified by the concurrent
unfavourable impact of the external environment, brought about lower than
expected demand for the Bulgarian enterprises offered for sale, hence the
deficient participation of strategic foreign investors.
The pace of divestiture considerably slackened in 2001 forcing the government
to develop new privatisation policy. Its primary objective is to finalise the
privatisation of all state-owned assets earmarked for divestiture by 2005.
The Privatisation and Post-Privatisation Control Act (PPPCA) has
provided for equal treatment of legal entities and physical persons alike,
without giving any preference to MEBOs and abolishing the right of employees to
buy shares on preferential terms. All state-owned companies (with a few
exceptions - regional utility companies, airports, sea ports, free trade
zones, Bulgarian Posts, NPP Kozlodui, Bulgargas, the Bulgarian Stock Exchange,
etc.) are offered for sale by virtue of the PPPCA. State-owned shares in
companies are only offered by public auctions and public tenders. The Act has
put an end to mass privatisation and separated privatisation procedures and
post-privatisation control, assigning them to different agencies. The
Privatisation Agency (PA) has assumed full responsibility for the privatisation
of state-owned interest in the share capital of companies or detached parts
thereof with more than 50% of state interest. A new independent Agency is the
only competent authority to exercise post-privatisation surveillance in
privatised companies. The law also ruled out explicitly any re-negotiation of
the commitments undertaken under privatisation contracts. As practice in the
second half of 2002 evidenced, the further pace and effect from privatisation
will be highly dependent on the speed of both the adoption and enforcement of EU
Company Law and the implementation of structural reforms in the judiciary
system.
A new Transactions in Compensatory Instruments Act was passed in 2002 to
regulate the market of compensatory instruments, the building-up of a modern
register of compensatory instruments and their trading at the stock exchange.
The Act aimed to achieve a just completion of the process of compensating
citizens who have been indemnified with compensatory notes, housing-compensatory
notes and compensation bills. In the beginning of March 2003 a list of
state-owned enterprises subject to privatisation with non-cash payment
instruments was promulgated. The list comprises of 1,084 companies, 95 of which
will be privatised through the Bulgarian Stock Exchange, 761 through centralised
public auctions and 228 enterprises through public tenders arranged by the
Privatisation Agency.
As a result of restructuring and further liberalisation of the economy
through divestiture, a considerable part of state assets was transferred in
private hands. By the end of 2002, more than 80% of the assets subject to
privatisation have been privatised. The majority of privatisation deals in the
period 1993 -2002 took place in the industry and commerce sectors. In the
period 1 January 1993 - 28 February 2003 there were 158 privatisation deals with
foreign investors. The deals that marked highest value were in the financial
sector, followed by the chemical industry. The goal of the present Bulgarian
government is to complete the sale of the major state-owned assets by the end of
2004.
|
Year |
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
|
Privatised assets as a percentage of state assets
subject to privatisation |
38,64% |
45,42% |
71,11% |
77,81% |
79,51% |
81,01% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Number of privatisation deals |
584 |
1,089 |
1,211 |
590 |
231 |
103 |
|
Source: Privatisation
Agency |
|
Background |
|
Equity trading in Bulgaria started in the beginning of the 1990ies,
with the establishment of several Stock Exchanges. Among them the Sofia
Stock Exchange and First Bulgarian Stock Exchange were of greatest
importance, collectively controlling more than 50% of the trade. Traded
companies comprised of primarily newly-established private corporations
and a few state banks. Most industrial companies were still state-owned.
Of the 30-40 listed companies more than half came from the financial
sector - banks, insurance companies and funds, and the rest - from the
tourist sector. Relatively low volumes and insufficient liquidity
characterized trading at the time.
Initially, vast blank areas existed in Bulgarian capital markets
legislature (e.g. the Securities law did not exist until 1995), leaving
shareholders vulnerable to high risks. Disclosure requirements were
minimal - as a result, a handful of traded companies turned out to be
outright pyramids. A wave of corporate insolvency among traded entities,
combined with quick deterioration of the macro-environment lead to a
freeze imposed on Stock Exchange trading in early 1996.
The subsequent adoption of the Public Offering of Securities Act in
late 1999 established new requirements for Stock Exchanges, public
offering of securities and the securities issuing companies.
|
|
Current Situation and Perspectives |
|
Macroeconomic stability achieved recently in Bulgaria fuels steady
growth. Despite stagnation in the worldwide economy, Bulgaria has managed
to sustain a GDP growth of over 4% over the past 3 years. These results
have been achieved simultaneously with a very low inflation and a budget
deficit below 1% of GDP. Privatisation has speeded up since August 2002 and by the end of 2004
the process for the most significant part of the state-owned enterprises
should be completed.
The most important factors for the positive development of the capital
market in Bulgaria during 2002 and 2003 were:
- Government’s will to further develop the capital market;
- The amendments in the Securities Act, that introduced more
protection for the minority shareholders;
- Additional liquidity was brought to the market with a new law, which
required compensatory instruments to be traded on the BSE. There is new
liquid position and many investors reinvest the proceeds from the sale
of their compensatory notes back in the market;
- Improved corporate management – companies released constantly
improving profitability;
- Intense privatization via the stock exchange.
|
|
Market Update |
|
|
 |
|
Source: Bulgarian Stock
Exchange |
|
Period |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
Jan – Oct 2003 |
|
No. of shares |
42 944 064 |
70 926 445 |
42 273 481 |
45 706 981 |
|
Turnover BGN |
133 844 507 |
161 058 460 |
327 156 616 |
227 184 539 |
|
Listed companies |
478 |
398 |
373 |
351 |
|
Note: Compensatory vouchers trade
is not included Source: Bulgarian Stock
Exchange |

|
|
|
In October 2003, the official BSE index SOFIX continued its upward
trend and added almost 266.19 points to its value – from 181.67 at the
beginning of the year to 447.86 on October 24, 2003. Most of the companies
included in the index enjoyed very good liquidity. Virtually, all the
companies included in SOFIX fuelled the rally. The highest growth in price
was realized by Petrol /PET/, Sopharma /SFARM/, Albena /ALB/ and
Bulgartabac Holding (BTH). Still we believe that SOFIX is undervalued and has the potential to
grow further. Our rationale behind this is that Petrol was the major
inflator in the index, because its shareholders artificially pumped up the
price and it has jumped from BGN 0.22 to BGN 3.66 since the beginning of
the year. If we exclude Petrol from SOFIX, SOFIX’s growth for the period
January-October will be 284% and not 382% as is the case.
There were also positive changes in the compensatory notes trades on
the market, which were due to privatization of 20% of DZI, 49% of PEOG
(Production and Exploitation of Oil and Gas) and 11% of Golden Sands
(launched on the stock exchange in October). Compensatory notes fell at
the level of 22.59% at the end of October after most of the potential
investors, willing to take part in the stock exchange privatisation of
Golden Sands bought the necessary resources. We expect the compensatory
notes to range between 24% and 24.50%, and if the privatisation of 20% of
BTC and 30% of Bulgarian Maritime Fleet against compensatory notes is
given a green light, we believe the price will test the 30% level.
|
|
BSE is far from the peak |
|
We expect the Bulgarian capital market will continue its
present upward trend based on the following:
- Although prices have risen, most of the blue chips are traded at P/E
of less than 4-5 and at about half of their book values – valuations
much lower than those on other markets in the CEE;
- Current growth is fuelled almost entirely by the local players.
Indications exist that many foreign investors are looking for
opportunities to enter the market, having identified its potential;
- Floating 20% of BTC, 30% of Bulgarian Maritime Fleet and minority
state stakes in other attractive companies will bring the needed
liquidity to the market;
The “blue chips” currently are owned by
local funds/companies and still major restructurings are not undertaken.
Potential acquisitions by multinational companies will cause share prices
to skyrocket. |
| |
|
|
|
Regulatory Acts and Institutions |
|
The Public Offering of Securities Act (“Securities Act”) governs the
issuance of securities and all securities transactions, stock exchanges
and investment intermediaries. The Securities and Stock Exchange
Commission established under the Securities Act (currently incorporated in
the Financial Supervision Commission), is the basic regulatory and
supervisory body on the stock market, which licenses and regulates
investment intermediaries and exchanges as well as the issuance and trade
of securities. The dynamic development of the capital market during 1996
–1999 proved the necessity for a better legal framework. Thus, the Public
Offering of Securities Act was adopted in late 1999 and came into effect
in January 2000. In contrast with the lax regulations during the initial
years of stock exchange trade, the latest law is unanimously defined as
achieving the desired results and adequate for Bulgaria’s EU accession
goals. It sets very strict requirements on issuing companies and
investment intermediaries (brokers). Another law about the Financial Supervision Commission establishes the
regulatory body of the capital market, which controls all securities
market players.
A new Transactions in Compensatory Instruments Act was passed in 2002
to regulate the market of compensatory instruments, the building-up of a
modern register of compensatory instruments and their trading at the stock
exchange. This act initiated the trade in all types of compensatory
instruments on the Bulgarian Stock Exchange. It also allowed the
compensatory instruments to be used for buying stakes in certain state
companies. The list of the state-owned enterprises for which privatisation
procedures can be carried out in non-cash payment instruments for 2002
includes over 1,000 attractive Bulgarian enterprises.
|
|
The Central Depository |
|
The Central Depository is another regulatory body on the stock market,
which keeps and maintains the registers of all companies restructured
under the Mass Privatization Program of the Government. The Central
Depository was established in 1996 and it is owned by investment
intermediaries, investment funds, commercial banks, the Ministry of
Finance, the Centre for Mass Privatization and the Bulgarian National Bank
with a state participation of 49%. The Securities Act gave the institution
the status of a central register for public companies’ shares. The
institution provides for a DVP ("delivery versus payment") settlement of
stock transactions. |
|
Settlement |
|
A central depository system for all shareholders in Bulgarian equities
started operating in mid April 1997. According to amendments in the laws
all shares of public companies are electronic and are registered with the
Central Depository. All proprietary trading and brokerage for companies
should be executed on the Bulgarian Stock Exchange. The settlement is
presently executed via a RINGS system on a T+2 basis. The recent
adoption of the T+2 settlement led to an increased liquidity on the
market. |
|
Investment Intermediaries |
|
Approximately 110 investment intermediaries, including banks, currently
operate on the Bulgarian stock market. Financial institutions (banks,
brokerage houses, exchange offices, etc.), licensed by the Financial
Supervision Commission and the Central Bank, may trade in foreign currency
without limitation. |
|
Accounting Standards |
|
Bulgaria has adopted the International Accounting Standards (IAS),
enforced for financial institutions and public companies since January
2003 and for all other companies since January 2005. |
|
Tax Implications |
|
Investments are generally regulated by the Foreign Investment Act, and
are registered with the Foreign Investment Agency. Bulgaria has one of the
most liberal foreign investment legal frameworks. When a foreign
investor has realized revenues from capital gains or dividends in the
Bulgarian market, he may freely repatriate the proceeds to his home
country, where they will be taxed accordingly (provided, of course, that
there is an agreement for avoiding double taxation between Bulgaria and
the home country). Prior to repatriation, revenues are subject to a 15%
tax in Bulgaria, which is subsequently refunded. There is no capital gains tax and the dividend tax is 15%. This tax can
be avoided provided an agreement for avoiding double taxation exists
between Bulgaria and the country of registration of the company realising
the gains.
The following three documents should be presented to the Council of
Ministers to avoid this taxation:
- Certificate of registration of the legal entity in the country with
which the double taxation agreement is signed.
- Certificate stating that the company resident in the country with
which the double taxation agreement is signed is the real owner of the
gains/dividends.
- Certificate that this company does not have any legal representation
in Bulgaria.
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
In September 1998 the Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE) was opened for
trading. The first several months, however, were characterized with a
strong OTC trading activity that allowed brokers to realize large spreads
in obscure market conditions. The revised Securities Act forbade OTC trade
and required all trades to be registered and executed through BSE.
The opportunity to invest in the Bulgarian market attracted in late
1997 some of the major players in Emerging markets - investment banks such
as SBS Warburg Dillon Read, mutual funds like Scudder, Pictet, etc. The
Bulgarian capital market experienced a boom in the end of 1997 and during
the first half of 1998, when shares of companies like Bulgartabac and
Neftochim doubled and tripled in price, while daily volumes at BSE reached
USD 1.5 - 2 mln. During the last half of 2002 and the first half of 2003
very attractive minority government stakes were offered for sale through
BSE. Excitement reigns on BSE presently, when prices and volumes reach
record highs.Securities in all public companies in Bulgaria are registered
and transferable in the Central Depository.
|
|
Trading Activity on BSE |
|
Trading on the BSE takes place daily, within the following trading
hours:
|
9.30 a.m. |
1.00 p.m. |
Trades on the Official and Unofficial Market |
|
1.00 p.m. |
2.00 p.m. |
Block trades |
|
9.30 a.m. |
2.00 p.m. |
Parallel trade with Bulgarian Depository Receipts and
Government Securities |
The BSE operates a continuous order-driven trading system. Orders are
matched automatically according to time and price priority. Customer
orders have priority of execution at the same price over the BSE
members`orders. The minimum lot size is currently one share. At present,
the size of trading lots has not been specified as shares are widely held
and the introduction of trading lots would worsen the already low
liquidity.
The daily limit on price movements for the Official Market segments A,
B and C has been set at +/- 15% from the average weighted price from the
previous trading session, while for the Free Market the limit on price
movements has been set at +/- 30% from the average weighted price
registered at the previous trading session.
|
|
Clearing and Settlement |
|
Stock Exchange transactions benefit from a clearing and settlement
process based on a RINGS process. RINGS is a real-time gross settlement
system at the BNB for execution of final settlement of systemically
important payments within the territory of the Republic of Bulgaria. At
the BNB, the system settles finally the obligations to transfer sums of
money and to make payments on multilateral transactions in securities
between two or more parties. The Central Depositary orders the
transfer. Settlement of trades executed on the BSE is on the gross basis (trades
are not netted for each member of the BSE, but are settled on a
trade-by-trade basis). Although settlement is not simultaneous, for the
participants of the settlement process trades are settled on the delivery
versus payment (DVP) basis. Securities settlement is done via the
computerized book-entry system at the Central Depository. All securities
traded on the BSE are issued in dematerialised form and should be
registered with the Central Depository.
Each member holds a settlement account with the BSE C&S bank. The
members ensure that sufficient funds are available in their accounts by
10:00 a.m. on T+2 to cover all the unsettled payments or payments due for
settlement on T+2, or to deliver a confirmed banker's cheque by this day.
The BSE C&S instructs the settlement bank to execute all members' cash
debits prior to effecting cash credits.
The Central Depository executes the settlement of securities.
|
|
Listing |
|
The listing criteria of the BSE are quite strict. This is due to the
fact that Bulgarian companies were last re-evaluated in 1992 and the
subsequent environment of a very high inflation has resulted in low book
values. Issues that can be listed for trading on the Official Market should
meet the following requirements:
- the securities shall be dematerialised or duly taken out of
circulation and registered at the Central Depository, or at any other
depositary institution, provided by the law;
- their transfer shall not be conditioned or limited;
- there is no pledge or restraint instituted upon them;
- the issues are not blocked by the Central Depository or by any other
depositary institution, provided by the law;
- no bankruptcy proceedings shall be initiated nor liquidation
commenced regarding the issuer of securities;
- the issuer of securities shall not be in a process of
transformation;
- the issues shall comply with the requirements of the Securities Act
regarding the public offering of securities and their trading on the
Official Market;
In addition, the debt securities issues shall meet the following
additional conditions:
- to have full rights to obtain the interest due; to be payable at
maturity.
Securities can be included in the following market segments of the BSE:
Official Market
- Market of Shares Segment “A”
- Market of Shares Segment “B”
- Market of Shares Segment “C”
- Market of Debt Securities Segment “Government Securities”
Market
of Debt Securities Segment “Municipal Bonds”
- Market of Debt Securities Segment “Corporate Bonds”
Primary Market
Privatisation Market
Unofficial Market
In order to be listed on either the Official Securities Market or
admitted to trading on the Free Market, all companies must comply with the
following General Listing Requirements:
- a prospectus approved by the SSEC, must be submitted to the BSE,
- the shares must be issued in compliance with the relevant
legislation,
- shareholders must be granted equal rights,
- transferability of shares should not be limited.
In addition to the general listing requirements, the BSE has
established different minimum listing requirements for each market
segment. For the Official Market, the listing requirements closely follow
the recommendations set in the EC Directive 79/279, with the only
difference being the minimum size of the company that is to be listed. All
listed companies on BSE are required to publish their interim and annual
reports and submit them to the FSC within 60 and 90 days after the end of
the fiscal period respectively. Listed companies are also required to
notify the BSE within ten days of learning that a shareholder controls
over 10% of the votes or dealings in shares of the company by
insiders.
|
|
Listing Requirements BSE |
|
Only a member of the BSE can initiate admittance of shares for trading
on the free market. Shares that are admitted to the free market have been
acquired for vouchers in the mass privatisation process, but do not meet
the listing requirements for the Official market. |
|
Official Market |
|
Market of Shares Segments “A”, “B”, and
“C” |
|
Requirement to the securities |
Dematerialised, fully transferable |
|
Prospectus |
Yes |
|
Market capitalization (in thousand BGN) |
Segment A: 20 000 or net value of the issue to be 20 000 Segment B:
10 000 or net value of the issue to be 10 000 Segment C: Net value of
the issue equal to 500 |
|
Years of activity |
3, 2, 1 Respectively for Segment A, B, C |
|
Min. shareholders |
400, 100, 100 Respectively for Segment A, B, C |
|
Free float |
25%, 10%, 5% Respectively for Segment A, B, C |
|
Min. No of shares traded per month |
1000, 1000, no min. requirement respectively |
| |
|
Municipality bonds |
|
Requirement to the securities |
Dematerialised, fully transferable |
|
Prospectus |
Yes |
|
Market capitalization (in thousand BGN) |
Net value of the issue equal to 1 000 |
|
Years of activity |
3 |
|
Minimum term until maturity date |
At least 6 months until maturity |
|
|
|
Corporate bonds |
|
Requirement to the securities |
Dematerialised, fully transferable |
|
Prospectus |
Yes |
|
Market capitalization (in thousand BGN) |
Net value of the issue equal to 1 000 |
|
Years of activity |
3 |
|
Minimum term until maturity date |
At least 6 months until maturity |
|
|
|
Primary market |
|
Initial pubic offering of shares is possible only
in case that terms of subscriptions, respectively offering conditions
provide fully pay off of the issue value or of the market price when
shares. If the subject of IPO are shares, convertible bonds or warrants
the term of exercising preferential rights of shareholders shall be
expired. |
|
|
|
Privatisation market |
|
Issue shall be registered on the relevant market
of shares, and an agreement shall be concluded between a member of the
exchange and a state body for privatisation through the method of “public
offering”. |
|
|
|
Free market |
|
The issues shall be dematerialised, fully
transferable, and there shall be no pledge or restraint instituted upon
them. The issues shall be registered at the register of public companies
maintained by the Financial Supervision Commission. |
|
Availability of Information |
|
Information on the activities on the BSE-Sofia is widely
available, provided by the Stock Exchange (in Bulgarian as well as in
English) on a daily, weekly and monthly subscription basis, by Reuters and
the Telerate vendor system, through the BSE web site, as well as in the
Bulgarian press. FFBH web site also presents detailed information on the
BSE trading activity, including graph tool and complete statistics. |
| |
|
|
|
Our Forecast for the Equity Market |
|
In the beginning of the transition, the Bulgarian Equity
Market has faced a number of problems during its fledgling period of
development:
- Incomplete minority shareholders protection
- Vague disclosure requirements combined with faults in reporting
standards
- Lack of reasonable free float for the traded companies (usually
limited to the 25% stake sold during the mass privatisation)
- No institutional investors and local support
- Inadequate legislation on Trusts and Investment Funds
The amendments to the Securities Act, adopted in June 2002, have
provided the basics for minority shareholders protection and adequate
disclosure. A satisfactory free float exists for a number of companies.
Also, several large companies have been partly privatised through the
stock exchange, which increased liquidity. As a result, trading activity
has intensified and the free market capitalization has increased by 89%
over the last 12 months. The SOFIX index increased two-fold only for 2002.
We firmly believe this is just the beginning of an exponential growth.
Bulgaria has the potential to outperform all Central and East European
Markets.
This conclusion is based on our forecasts for the development of the
Bulgarian Economy and the effects of the expected conclusion of the most
important privatisation deals by end-2004:
- Superior Economic Growth Potential (GDP growth over the past 3 years
exceeded 4%, the country is on track to achieve an even better result
this and the following years).
- More than 80% of the state owned companies have been privatised,
providing for a near-future increase in efficiency and alignment with
market demands. We see the privatization as the most important factor
for the Bulgarian economy, since the pre-privatization period for the
companies is usually characterized with falling sales and diminishing
profits. The better-managed companies should gain competitiveness.
- Some of the remaining packages of the companies already with a
private majority shareholder will be floated on BSE;
- Local capital investments show strong growth, having increased by
60% in 2003 over 2001. This reflects the positive business expectations
about the economic climate in the country. These investments will lead
to an increase in production, and will positively influence the entire
economy.
- Finally, we believe that the forthcoming EU accession (targeted for
January 1, 2007) will attract strong foreign investor interest to
Bulgaria, because of the relatively undervalued equity prices compared
with those countries, already offered membership in the Union.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Why we believe investments in Bulgarian equities are
worth the risks associated with emerging markets:
- Bulgaria has achieved macroeconomic stability and the economy
is growing at a fast pace.
- The Currency Board and the IMF commitment to Bulgaria provide
a strong guarantee of the macroeconomic and currency stability in the
country. Bulgaria is on the right track of becoming a textbook example
of successful transformation with the assistance of the IMF.
- Bulgaria is an island of economic and political stability in a
world of falling capital markets and receding economies.
- The country has been invited to negotiate for accession to the
European Union and is hoping to join in 2007.
Bulgaria should be a diversifying factor in the
investor's portfolio because of the low correlation with developed
markets. |
Bulgaria is a parliamentary republic that abides to the Constitution of the
Republic, passed by the National Assembly in July 1991. The Constitution of the
Republic of Bulgaria is the country’s supreme law and no other law may
contravene it. All international treaties, which are ratified pursuant to the
constitutional procedure, are considered part of the domestic legislation.
The National Assembly is a one-chamber parliament. It consists of 240 Members
of Parliament who are directly elected every four years. The President is the
Head of State, who represents the Republic of Bulgaria in its international
relations. The Council of Ministers is the executive state body that directs the
domestic and foreign policy of the country. The government manages the
implementation of the state budget, organizes the management of state property
and approves or rescinds certain categories of international treaties pointed
out in the Constitution.
The Bulgarian National Bank Law was approved by the Parliament in June 1997,
and the Law on Banks adopted in July 1997, which introduced a currency board as
of 1 July 1997. The currency unit in Bulgaria is the Bulgarian Lev., pegged to
the Euro at the rate of EUR 1 per BGN 1.95583.
Every local or foreign person may own an unlimited number of accounts in any
currency, in any bank in Bulgaria. There are no restrictions on the repatriation
of earnings, capital, royalties or interest with regard to the foreign
investments and repatriation payments can be made freely.
Major Trade
Agreements
WTO: Bulgaria is a member of the World Trade Organization since 1 December
1996.
EUROPEAN UNION: The European Agreement of Association entered into force on 1
February 1995, and the Interim Agreement on Trade and Trade Related Matters,
covering trade components, came into effect on December 31, 1993. In accordance
with the Agreement of Association, customs duties between Bulgaria and the EU
countries on industrial goods have been gradually reduced and eliminated since 1
January 2002.
CEFTA: Bulgaria became a member of the Central European Free Trade Agreement
in July 1998; the trade component of this agreement came into force on 1 January
1999. In accordance with the agreement, Bulgaria has begun a process of
liberalization of trade with industrial and agricultural goods with CEFTA
countries (Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania and Slovenia). The
process of trade liberalisation, concerning industrial goods, was completed by 1
January 2002.
- Free trade agreement with Turkey entered into force on 1 January 1999.
Customs duties on industrial goods have been eliminated since 1 January 2002.
- Free trade agreement with Macedonia entered into force on 1 January 2000.
Customs duties will be reduced gradually until 2005.
- Free trade agreements with Estonia, Croatia and Israel entered into force
on 1 January 2002.
- Free Trade Agreement with Lithuania was signed in 2001and its enforcement
is expected after finishing the process of ratification.
- Free Trade Agreements with Latvia and Morocco are under negotiation.
- All free trade agreements provide also limited liberalization on
agriculture goods.
Foreign Trade Regulations
Bulgaria applies a liberal foreign trade regime that meets the WTO
requirements. A limited number of goods are subject to administrative control.
Customs Law and Tariff System
The new Customs Law that entered into force on 1 January 1999 is based on the
EU Customs Code. The same procedure and regimes as those of the EU are applied:
release for import; transit; customs warehousing; inward processing; processing
under customs control; temporary admission; outward processing; export;
temporary export, etc. The Customs Tariff of the Republic of Bulgaria consists
of the Combined Nomenclature of the Republic of Bulgaria and the appropriate
rates of customs duties. The Combined Nomenclature of the Republic of Bulgaria
is based on the international Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding System
and on the EU Combined Nomenclature. The adoption of both the new Customs Law
and modification for another time of the Customs Tariff is a part of the
National Strategy for both joining the European Union and the commitment to the
WTO/GATT. Trade License
Some trade activities in the country, which have particular meaning in
respect to the national security, life and healthy of people, animals and
plants, environment and protection of culture values, are subject to licensing
(permission) by the appropriate authorities. License is required for production
and trade of spirits and alcoholic drinks; trade in plant protection chemicals,
trade in arms, trade in precious metals, production and trade in medicines,
processing and trade in tobacco and tobacco products, etc.
Duty
Free Zones
The free zones were established in Bulgaria in 1987 under Decree No. 2242 on
the Duty-Free Zones and its Regulations for Application. The duty-free zones are
located on strategic transport routes leading to the main international markets:
the EC, the Central European and ex-Soviet countries, the Middle East and
Northern Africa.
On 24 October 1997, the Parliament of Bulgaria adopted a new Law on Foreign
Investment (promulgated in the State Gazette, Issue Nr. 97 of 1997; supplemented
in State Gazette, Issue Nr. 29 of 1998; amended and supplemented in State
Gazette, Issue Nr. 153 of 1998, Issue Nr. 110 of 1999). The Law brings the legal
framework on foreign investment in full compliance with the accepted
international standards and provides for even more attractive investment
regime. Institutional framework
Foreign Investment Agency: In April 1995, the Foreign Investment Agency was
established as a one-stop shop institution for foreign investors. The Foreign
Investment Agency is a governmental body within the Council of Ministers for
coordination of the activities of State institutions in the field of foreign
investments and for promotion of foreign investments in the
country. Foreign Investor
Under the Law on Foreign Investments, foreign investors are:
- legal persons which are not registered in Bulgaria;
- partnerships which are not legal persons and are registered abroad;
- individuals who are foreign citizens and have permanent residence abroad.
- A Bulgarian national, who is a national of another country as well, should
choose whether to avail himself of the status of a Bulgarian or foreign
national under the Law.
Definitions and Forms of
Investment
Foreign investment is any investment, which is made by a foreign person, in
any of the following:
- shares and stakes in commercial companies;
- ownership title over buildings and limited ownership title over property;
- ownership title and limited ownership title over movable property when
considered long-term tangible assets;
- ownership title over enterprise, or detached parts thereof, in accordance
with the stipulations of the Law on Restructuring and Privatisation of
State-Owned and Municipal Enterprises;
- securities, including debentures and Treasury bonds, as well as their
derivative instruments issued by the State, by the municipalities or by other
Bulgarian legal persons, with a remaining term until maturity not shorter than
6 months;
- loans, also in the form of financial leasing, for a term not shorter than
12 months;
- intellectual property rights - articles of copyright and neighbouring
rights, patented inventions, utility models, trade marks, service marks and
industrial designs;
- rights stemming from concession contracts and contracts for the assigning
of management.
A foreign investment shall, furthermore, include the accretion in value of
the investment initially made. Bilateral treaties on promotion and mutual
protection of foreign investment to which Bulgaria is a party may provide for a
wider definition of foreign investment. Legal and International
Guarantees for Foreign Investment
National Treatment: The Bulgarian Constitution and the Law on Foreign
Investments provide national treatment to foreign investors which means that
foreign investors are entitled to perform economic activity in the country under
the same provisions applicable to Bulgarian investors except where otherwise is
provided by law. In particular this principle covers the whole range of economic
and legal forms of activities for accomplishing entrepreneurial businesses. The
national treatment to foreign investors includes the participation in the
process of Privatization and acquisition of shares, debentures, treasury bonds
and other kinds of securities.
Most Favoured Nation Status: Bulgaria is signatory to a system of
bilateral treaties on promotion and mutual protection of foreign investment
which provide, further to the national treatment regime, for the most favoured
nation status of the investment made by entities and individuals from one of the
contracting countries on the territory of the other contracting country.
Priority of International Treaties: When international treaties to
which Bulgaria is a party provide for more favourable terms and conditions for
foreign investment, these terms have precedence over the local rules. This
guiding principle finds expression in the treaties for protection of foreign
investments and especially in the agreements for abstaining of double taxation
regulations. Establishment of Enterprises with Foreign
Investment
Bulgarian legislation provides for establishment of enterprises with foreign
investment. These must take the form of any of the business organizations
stipulated in the Commercial Code. There are no limitations as far as the share
participation of foreign persons is concerned and so is the extent of their
investments. Under the Commercial Code, the following forms of business
organizations are open to foreign investors: . private limited company .
single-owner private limited liability company . public limited company .
general partnership (unlimited partnership) . limited partnership . public
limited partnership sole trader Foreign legal entities registered abroad,
as well as foreign natural persons and entities which are not legal persons, may
register branches if they have been registered as merchants in accordance with
the legislation of their countries. As a rule, no prior permits from government
institutions are required. Profit and Capital
Repatriation
Bulgaria has established a liberal regime for repatriation of after-tax
profit and capital. Foreign investors can freely purchase foreign currency and
transfer it abroad upon presentation of receipt for paid taxes in the following
instances: income generated through an investment; property alienation driven
indemnification proceeds, when for state needs; liquidation quota resulting from
the termination of the investment; proceeds from the sale of the investment
good; a sum received after the enforcement of a writ of execution.
Real Estate Ownership
According to the Bulgarian Constitution foreign nationals and foreign legal
entities may not directly acquire ownership rights of land. If foreigners
inherit land in the country, they are obliged to transfer the ownership of the
land to local persons or legal persons within three years after the inheritance
becomes effective. The above restrictions, however, do not concern Bulgarian
companies with foreign participation, irrespective of the percentage of the
foreign participation in the company. Thus foreign persons can acquire full land
ownership rights, including ownership rights on agricultural land by setting up
or joining a company incorporated under the Bulgarian legislation.
Forms of Business Organizations
The following forms of business organization exist under the Bulgarian law:
- unlimited (general) partnership
- limited partnership
- partnership limited by shares
- limited liability company
- joint-stock company
- public company
- sole proprietor
- joint venture
- branch
- holding
- co-operative
- representative office
The forms of business organization, save representative offices and
co-operatives, are governed by the Commerce Act 1991, as for certain types of
companies (e.g., banks, insurance companies, public companies) special rules
apply. Representative offices and co-operatives are regulated respectively by
the Foreign Investments Act 1997 and by the Co-operatives Act 1999.
Formation and Registration of a Company, Branch and
Representative Office
A company is deemed incorporated as of the date of its registration into the
commercial register of the relevant district court. The application for
registration, furnished with certain documents required by the law, is filed in
the court by the elected managing body.
Bulgaria adopts the International Accounting Standards (IAS) from 2003 for
financial institutions and public companies and from 2005 for all other
companies.
Bulgarian fiscal year is identical with the calendar year.
Territoriality and residence
Under Personal Income Tax Act (PITA) persons, subject to tax liability are
individuals - residents and non-residents, and corporate entities, explicitly
enumerated therein. Residents, irrespective of their citizenship, are considered
those persons:
- Who have their permanent domicile in Bulgaria;
- Who reside in the country for more than 183 days in a 365-day period.
Non-residents are considered those individuals who do not fit the above
criteria for residents. Residents are liable for their worldwide income.
Non-residents are liable only for their income derived from Bulgarian sources.
Foreign experts are taxed only on their Bulgarian source income irrespective of
the duration of their stay in the country. Bulgarian source
incomes
Any income derived by an individual from the conduct of business on the
territory of Bulgaria is considered to be from a Bulgarian source. A person is
considered to have carried out business on the territory of the country if:
- He has a permanent establishment [1] or a fixed base [2] in Bulgaria;
- He has assigned or performed an assignment on the territory of the
country, whether in person, or through a procurator, agent or in some other
way.
Any income under an employment contract or derived from rendering services is
considered to have been derived from a Bulgarian source where labour has been
extended or services have been delivered on the territory of the country,
regardless of the source of payment for the labour extended or services
rendered. Notwithstanding the above, some kinds of incomes paid out by Bulgarian
residents or from a permanent establishment to a non-resident on the territory
of the country are considered to be from a Bulgarian source. These incomes
include, for example, dividends and distribution of profits of entities with or
without legal presence, interest, royalties, rentals, payments under lease,
franchising, factoring, as well as emoluments of freelancers, or members of a
managing or controlling body of a Bulgarian corporate; branch of a foreign
entity, etc. Incomes derived from the use of real estate and capital gains from
the sale of real estate located in the country, as well as incomes from
transactions with quotas/shares in local companies and incomes from securities
transactions with securities issued by the Bulgarian state and municipalities
are also incomes from a Bulgarian source.
Corporate
income tax
Under the Corporate Income Tax Act (CITA) all companies and partnerships
(including non-incorporated partnerships) are subject to corporate income tax.
The corporate income tax rate is 23.5% [3]
. Bulgarian resident entities are taxed on a worldwide basis. Other entities
are taxed on their Bulgarian-source income. Non-business organizations
(including governmental) are taxed for their business
activities. Property tax
Owners of real estate property are subject to property tax at a rate of
0.15%. For companies the tax base is the net book value of non-residential
immovable property plus the accumulated depreciation costs
thereon. Corporate residence
A company is considered to be resident in Bulgaria for tax purposes if it is
registered in Bulgaria. Companies resident in Bulgaria are subject to tax on
their worldwide income. Foreign entities are subject to tax on their
Bulgarian-source income, but their Bulgarian branches are considered Bulgarian
resident companies for tax purposes. Branch income
Although branches are not legal persons, branches of non-resident companies
have separate balance sheet and P&L account. They are subject to corporate
income tax at the standard rate of 15%, and to other general taxes too
(municipal tax; VAT, etc.) Representative offices are not subject to corporate
taxation provided that they do not carry out business
activities. Income determination
The income determination is based on the taxpayers' profit and loss
account. Capital gains
In general capital gains are included in the corporate income and taxed at
the full corporate tax rate. Exchange rate gains and losses are reported in the
profit and loss account and reflected in the assessment of the taxable
profit. Dividends
Dividends received by local companies from other local companies are not
subject to withholding tax. Dividends payable by local companies to Bulgarian
resident individuals and certain types of charity institutions, defined by CITA,
are taxed with 15% withholding tax. Dividends distributed by Bulgarian companies
to foreign shareholders are subject to 15% withholding tax.
Stock
dividends
Dividends capitalized into shares (stock dividends) are not subject to
withholding tax. Foreign income
Income derived outside Bulgaria by resident entities and branches of
non-residents is included in the taxable base for corporate income tax purposes.
Resident entities utilise tax credit for the foreign source income, which is
taxed abroad. The tax credit is limited to the amount of the Bulgarian tax
obligation, which would have been levied if the profit or income had originated
from Bulgaria. If Bulgaria has a double tax treaty with the state where the
income originates from, the provisions of the double tax treaty shall apply.
Undistributed income of foreign subsidiaries of a Bulgarian resident company is
not taxed. Payments to foreign affiliates
Tax authorities may re-adjust payments to foreign affiliates as per the arm's
length principle. Market prices would apply, whereas deviations from such prices
will be tolerated if within +/- 20% (for interest payments +/-25% of the
statutory interest). The same provisions apply also for transfers between the
permanent establishment and other countries' parts of the enterprise of a
foreign person, depending on the specific character of the permanent
establishment as a part of the enterprise. Group taxation
There is no group taxation legislation. All companies are assessed on
individual assessable profits and losses. However, tax anti-avoidance rules
cover transfer pricing and related persons.
Tax incentive for investments in regions with high unemployment
Entities, investing in regions with a high unemployment, exceeding 50% the
average for the country for the previous two years (these regions are listed
annually in an appendix to CITA), enjoy a reduction of the corporate income tax
(not the municipal tax) provided that:
- The investment is in the form of acquisition, modernisation or
reconstruction of tangible fixed assets such as buildings, equipment,
transmitters, electricity transmitters, and telecommunication lines as well as
machines, production facilities, cars, computers and software; and
- The funds for the investment are generated from the contributions made by
shareholders for acquisition of new shares (including on incorporation) in the
company making the investments. If the requirements for the tax reduction are
met the annual corporate tax is reduced by an amount representing 10% of the
amount of the share contributions used in the above manner. The compulsory
insurance contributions effectively made by the employer in proportion to the
new jobs created during the current year relative to the average annual
personnel hired on employment contracts by the employers for the preceding
year are also deducted from the financial result of the enterprise.
The sum for the reduction is accounted for as reserves and if greater than
the corporate tax in the respective year it can be used to reduce the corporate
tax in the following five years.
Although Bulgaria is not a member of the European Community, the Bulgarian
VAT legislation in many aspects follows the provisions of the Sixth VAT
Directive. Registration
Any person (legal or physical, resident or non-resident) who has a taxable
turnover of at least BGN 50,000, without export and other turnover with VAT 0%,
during the preceding twelve months is obliged to register for VAT purposes by
filing a standard registration form within 14 days after the end of the calendar
month in which the above threshold is reached. Under the VAT Act, such
non-registered persons are subject to mandatory VAT registration, non-residents
register through an agent, upon achieving the respective turnover, regardless of
whether:
- they have a permanent establishment in Bulgaria, and .
- the activities are continuing and/or performed from a "fixed place" in
Bulgaria.
Voluntary registration is possible for persons with taxable turnover
including export BGN 50,000. Tax base
The tax base for supplies within Bulgaria is the price (exclusive of VAT)
charged to the customer, and all other taxes and fees, including excise duties,
subsidies and financing relating to a transaction, as well as any interest and
penalties under a transaction. The tax base also includes transportation,
package and other expenses related to supply if these are borne by the customer.
The tax base for transactions between related parties is at least the market
value of the goods and/or services involved. The tax base for imports includes
the customs value, the customs duties and excise duties (if any) on the import
goods. Place of supply
Bulgaria has adopted the EU definitions of place of supply of goods and
services. VAT Exemptions
There are three types of exempt supplies:
- Supplies, which, according to the statutory "place of supply" rule, are
provided outside the territory of Bulgaria.
- Supplies of goods in customs warehouses within the frame of the respective
customs procedure.
- Supplies exempt due to their subject, such as:
- transfer of ownership and limited property rights over land;
- financial services;
- insurance services;
- lease of buildings and parts thereof, provided these are leased out for
dwelling purposes;
- transfer of a going concern of a company, as well as businesses or parts
thereof as per the Privatisation Act;
- provision of legal advice by registered attorneys in accordance with the
Attorneys Act and of services under the Notaries Act;
- land processing services rendered by co-operatives by means of their own
equipment, provided that the land is owned by the co-operative members;
- supply of grain as an in-kind rent for use of land;
- betting and gambling;
- donations in favour of certain charity institutions;
- other.
Export of goods and services
The export of goods and services is subject to VAT at a zero
rate. VAT rates
Under the VAT Act two rates are applicable to taxable supplies:
- 20% applicable to taxable supplies, including import of goods and
services.
- A zero rate applicable to exports.
VAT return is possible according to double tax agreements between Bulgaria
and some countries. Excise Duties
Excise duties are levied on goods and services listed in the Excise Duties
Tariff, which are:
- subject to transactions performed in Bulgaria, or
- subject to cross-border transactions from abroad to Bulgaria.
Subject to excise duties are:
- Spirit drinks, including beer, but not wine,
- Tobacco products,
- Fuels,
- Some types of automobiles,
- Gambling machines and other casino facilities,
- Coffee and tea.
The Excise Duties Act provides for reimbursement of excise duties upon
exportation of goods, on which excise duties have been paid, when excise
stickers have been paid but not used by producers, etc.
Labour Supply
One of the most attractive benefits of investment in Bulgaria is the abundant
supply of skilled and well-educated workers. The workforce in Bulgaria comprises
of about 4.5mln. well educated and highly skilled men and women many of whom
have higher education or Technical Education at one of the many colleges. It has
always been a part of the Bulgarian tradition to educate the children to a high
level. This includes teaching many European languages at specialized language
schools as well as selecting high-level science and technical subjects. In most
cities there are English, German and French language schools that teach all of
the curriculum subjects in the specific language.
Employment relations
The relations between the company and the workers in Bulgaria are governed by
the Labour Code. Labour relations within the country at a national level are
governed by agreements between the trade unions, the government and
representatives of the employers. At the work level, agreements are made between
the trade unions and the employer. There are two main trade unions in Bulgaria
The Confederation of Independent Trade Unions of Bulgaria and Podkrepa.
Employment contracts
In accordance with the Labour Code employment contract is concluded for an
indefinite period. Fixed period employment contracts are exclusively specified
in the Labour Code or may be concluded only for temporary, seasonal and
short-term works and activities. Social security
The employers must register at the local social security administration
within 3 days before the day, on which they employed a person, subject to
mandatory insurance. Public Social Security is obligatory for all employees
employed by Bulgarian or foreign natural or corporate bodies within the country.
The distribution of the social insurance instalments between employer and
employee are at the rate of 70:30 for 2003 until the gradual equalization at
year 2007 - 50:50. With the Code of the Compulsory Social Insurance, changes
have been made in the Law of Foreign Investments, according to which the workers
and employees - foreign citizens are insured under the Bulgarian Law.
Health Security System
The health insurance in Bulgaria is both mandatory and voluntarily. The
health insurance contribution is not subject to taxation.
* In March, 2003 the Securities Commission was incorporated into
a Financial Supervision Commission to control the entire non-banking sector
[1] For the purposes of PITA a "permanent establishment" means
specific premises, through which a foreign enterprise conducts, partly or
wholly, its business in Bulgaria. The premises may include: a place of
management, a branch, an office, a studio, a bureau, a plant, a factory, a
workshop, a shop, a warehouse wherein trade is conducted, an installation, a
construction site, a mine, an oil or gas well, a quarry or any other place of
extraction of natural resources. A "permanent establishment" will also be the
conduct of a business through a procurator or an agent entitled to conclude
contracts on behalf of the foreign person
[2] A "fixed base" means specific premises, through which a
foreign individual renders, partly or wholly, independent services or acts as a
member of the professions (e.g. a law firm; an independent auditor or
accountant)
[3] The government proposed to cut corporate tax to 19.5% in 2004
in a bid to encourage investment and speed up economic growth.
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